Data as of 26 October 2026. Raw price: TCGplayer market price (near-mint) from our daily snapshot, plus PriceCharting's ungraded sold average for comparison. Graded prices: PriceCharting sold listings for this card, accessed 26 October 2026. Fees: PSA and CGC published fee schedules. This is a worked example of a method, not investment advice. Check today's sold prices before you decide.
The short answer
Yes for a clean copy, at either raw price, even after a month in which PSA 10 prices fell faster than raw. Raw Espeon ex #155 is $273.76 on TCGplayer (26 October 2026), 13% below the $315.57 we recorded on 18 September; raw eBay sales average about $219.99 (PriceCharting). PSA 10s sold for a median of $851 since 19 October (15 sales), down from about $1,010 in early October. A PSA 9 sells for about $240. At PSA Standard ($59.99) and a 30% chance of a 10, grading averages about +$53 against a $274 raw sale and about +$100 against a $220 one. Break-even is about a 20% chance of a 10 at the TCGplayer price and 11% at the PriceCharting average.
Put another way: at 30% odds and the TCGplayer raw price, grading keeps paying until PSA 10s fall to about $649. That is the difference from Leafeon ex, the next card up in the set: Leafeon's 10 sells for a little over twice raw, Espeon's for about 3.1 times. Espeon is the #4 card in Prismatic Evolutions, after Umbreon ex, Sylveon ex and Leafeon ex.
Weekly price changes for 10 modern sets: Pokémon card price movers.
Which PSA tier applies
- PSA Standard ($59.99, cap $1,000). Raw ($273.76), a PSA 9 (~$240) and today's PSA 10 price (~$851) all sit under $1,000.
- A 10 can be upcharged. 9 of the 28 PSA 10 sales from 5 October to 26 October were above $1,000 (up to $1,275.00). If PSA values your 10 above $1,000 it moves it to Priority ($79.99) and bills the $20 difference; at today's ~$851 it would not apply, so the math below leaves it out.
- PSA's cheaper Value tiers have been paused since 2 June 2026. PSA ties their return to its backlog falling to about 5 million cards; it reported 8.2 million on 6 October. Standard takes about 90 to 100 business days, so we charge 135 calendar days of waiting.
The inputs
| Input | Value used | Where it comes from |
|---|---|---|
| Raw price, version A | $273.76 | TCGplayer market, 26 October 2026 (-13.2% vs $315.57 on 18 Sep; $312.32 on 1 Oct; $284.67 on 13 Oct) |
| Raw price, version B | $219.99 | PriceCharting ungraded sold average (23 raw sales 14 October to 26 October: $153.50 to $308.04, median $235.00) |
| Sold price if PSA 10 | $851.00 | Median of the 15 PriceCharting PSA 10 sales since 19 October ($784.69 to $1,199.00); PriceCharting's average over 28 sales since 5 October is $969.62 |
| Sold price if PSA 9 | $239.75 | Median of 24 PriceCharting PSA 9 sales 5 October to 26 October: $194.50 to $269.99 (a BGS 9 excluded) |
| Sold price if 8 or lower | $201.83 | Blend of grade 8 (about $216) and grade 7 (about $173) |
| Chance of a 10 / 9 / 8 or lower | 30% / 50% / 20% | Assumption for a copy that looks clean under a loupe (same as our other card articles); other odds below |
| Selling platform | eBay, 13.25% + $0.40 | eBay trading-card fee schedule |
| Grading cost | $59.99 + $6 shipping | PSA Standard |
| Time value of money | 5% a year, 135 days | PSA Standard turnaround |
The math
- Net if it grades 10: 851.00 × 0.8675 − 0.40 − 59.99 − 6 = $671.85
- Net if it grades 9: 239.75 × 0.8675 − 0.40 − 59.99 − 6 = $141.59
- Net if 8 or lower: 201.83 × 0.8675 − 0.40 − 59.99 − 6 = $108.70
- Expected net if graded: 0.30 × 671.85 + 0.50 × 141.59 + 0.20 × 108.70 = $294.09
Version A, raw = $273.76: sell raw today 273.76 × 0.8675 − 0.40 = $237.09; cost of waiting $4.38; expected gain 294.09 − 237.09 − 4.38 = +$53.
Version B, raw = $219.99: sell raw today $190.44; cost of waiting $3.52; expected gain +$100.
With PriceCharting's 28-sale PSA 10 average ($969.62) instead of the recent median, version A becomes +$83. We use the lower, recent number because that is closer to what a 10 sells for now.
How much depends on your odds of a 10
| Your chance of a PSA 10 | Raw = $273.76 | Raw = $219.99 |
|---|---|---|
| 10% | −$55 | −$8 |
| 20% | −$1 | +$46 |
| 30% | +$53 | +$100 |
| 40% | +$107 | +$154 |
| 50% | +$161 | +$208 |
| 60% | +$215 | +$262 |
The 9 / 8-or-lower split is kept at 5 : 2 in every row. Break-even is about 20% (version A) and 11% (version B), under the 25 to 35% PSA 10 rate usually quoted for modern Special Illustration Rares.
The catch: a PSA 9 loses money, and the 10 price is falling
A PSA 9 sells for about $240 (median of recent sales), close to raw, so after the fee, shipping and selling costs a 9 nets about $100 less than selling raw at $274. All of the expected gain comes from the 10. If your copy has off-centre borders, whitening or print lines, 30% is too high; at 10% odds the average is −$55 at the TCGplayer price.
PSA 10s have been falling faster than raw: the median sale was $1,010.00 from 5 October to 14 October (13 sales) and $851.00 from 19 October to 26 October (15 sales), -15.7%, while TCGplayer raw went from $312.32 on 1 October to $273.76. A slab you send now comes back in about four months, at whatever the price is then; the cushion before grading stops paying at 30% odds is a PSA 10 at about $649.
If PSA's Value Bulk tier returns at its pre-pause $24.99, break-even at the TCGplayer price drops to about 14% (Value tiers have their own value caps, so check them first).
What about CGC or TAG?
CGC Economy is only $20, but CGC 10s for this card have sold for $274.69 and $305.00 since August (only 2 sales), close to raw, so a CGC 10 does not pay for itself here. TAG 10s sold for $658.01 to $1,500.00 since August (10 sales), around PSA 10 prices, but we have not modelled TAG's fees; use the calculator below if you are weighing it.
Do this yourself in two minutes
Our Grading ROI Calculator takes the same inputs, including your own raw price, odds and fee, and puts PSA, CGC, TAG and Beckett side by side. For every card in the set, see the Prismatic Evolutions Set Value Sheet or the free Prismatic Evolutions top 25 list. The same math for the set's top three cards: Umbreon ex, Sylveon ex and Leafeon ex. Cards where the math says no at typical odds: Giratina VSTAR GG69, Mewtwo VSTAR GG44, Arceus VSTAR GG70 and Milotic ex. Other chase cards: Latias ex, Pikachu ex, Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex, Charizard ex (Paldean Fates), Mew ex, Charizard ex (151), Rayquaza VMAX and Umbreon VMAX.
FAQ
How much is Espeon ex #155 from Prismatic Evolutions worth raw?
About $273.76 near-mint on TCGplayer on 26 October 2026 ($284.67 on 13 October, $315.57 on 18 September). Recent raw eBay sales are lower: median $235.00, PriceCharting average $219.99.
How much is a PSA 10 Espeon ex #155?
About $851 (median of 15 sales since 19 October; PriceCharting, 26 October 2026). Early-October sales were higher, around $1,010.
Is a PSA 9 Espeon ex worth more than raw?
No. Recent PSA 9 sales have a median of about $240, close to raw, so after fees a 9 loses money against selling raw.
Which PSA tier should I use?
PSA Standard ($59.99). If PSA values a 10 above $1,000 it upcharges $20 to Priority.
What chance of a PSA 10 do I need?
About 20% at the TCGplayer raw price, about 11% at PriceCharting's raw average.
GradeWorthy is not affiliated with The Pokémon Company, Nintendo, PSA, CGC, TAG, Beckett, eBay, PriceCharting or TCGplayer. Prices and fees change; verify before you submit.