Data as of 22 October 2026. Raw price: TCGplayer market price (near-mint) from our daily snapshot, plus PriceCharting's ungraded sold average for comparison. Graded prices: PriceCharting sold listings for this card, accessed 22 October 2026. Fees: PSA and CGC published fee schedules. This is a worked example of a method, not investment advice. Check today's sold prices before you decide.
The short answer
Not at typical odds. A PSA 10 is worth only about 2.0 times raw, and a PSA 9 sells for less than raw. Raw Mewtwo VSTAR GG44 is $239.25 on TCGplayer (22 October 2026), 8% below the $260.64 we recorded on 18 September. A PSA 10 sells for about $490 and a PSA 9 for about $226. At PSA Standard ($59.99) a 10 puts you about +$148 ahead of selling raw today, but anything less leaves you about −$82. At a 30% chance of a 10 the average result is about −$13; break-even is about a 36% chance of a 10.
So this card clears our $150 raw screen and still fails the full math. Compare Sylveon ex: its PSA 9 is also worth about raw, but its 10 is worth about three times raw, so break-even there is 13%.
Weekly price changes for 10 modern sets: Pokémon card price movers.
Which PSA tier applies
- PSA Standard ($59.99, cap $1,000). Raw ($239.25), a PSA 9 (~$226) and a PSA 10 (~$490) all sit under $1,000. 24 PSA 10 sales from 13 October to 22 October ran $405.00 to $550.00, so no upcharge applies.
- PSA's cheaper Value tiers have been paused since 2 June 2026. PSA ties their return to its backlog falling to about 5 million cards; it reported 8.2 million on 6 October. Standard takes about 90 to 100 business days, so we charge 135 calendar days of waiting.
The inputs
| Input | Value used | Where it comes from |
|---|---|---|
| Raw price, version A | $239.25 | TCGplayer market, 22 October 2026 (-8.2% vs $260.64 on 18 Sep; $250.99 on 1 Oct; $237.18 on 13 Oct) |
| Raw price, version B | $243.29 | PriceCharting ungraded sold average (22 raw sales 7 October to 18 October: $180.00 to $312.74, median $232.42) |
| Sold price if PSA 10 | $490.00 | PriceCharting PSA 10 average; 24 sales, median $495.50 |
| Sold price if PSA 9 | $226.50 | Median of 24 PriceCharting PSA 9 sales 16 October to 21 October: $197.50 to $290.00 |
| Sold price if 8 or lower | $221.95 | Blend of grade 8 (about $238) and grade 7 (about $190) |
| Chance of a 10 / 9 / 8 or lower | 30% / 50% / 20% | Assumption for a copy that looks clean under a loupe (same as our other card articles); other odds below |
| Selling platform | eBay, 13.25% + $0.40 | eBay trading-card fee schedule |
| Grading cost | $59.99 + $6 shipping | PSA Standard |
| Time value of money | 5% a year, 135 days | PSA Standard turnaround |
The math
- Net if it grades 10: 490.00 × 0.8675 − 0.40 − 59.99 − 6 = $358.69
- Net if it grades 9: 226.50 × 0.8675 − 0.40 − 59.99 − 6 = $130.10
- Net if 8 or lower: 221.95 × 0.8675 − 0.40 − 59.99 − 6 = $126.15
- Expected net if graded: 0.30 × 358.69 + 0.50 × 130.10 + 0.20 × 126.15 = $197.89
Version A, raw = $239.25: sell raw today 239.25 × 0.8675 − 0.40 = $207.15; cost of waiting $3.83; expected gain 197.89 − 207.15 − 3.83 = −$13.
Version B, raw = $243.29: sell raw today $210.65; cost of waiting $3.90; expected gain −$17.
How much depends on your odds of a 10
| Your chance of a PSA 10 | Raw = $239.25 | Raw = $243.29 |
|---|---|---|
| 10% | −$59 | −$63 |
| 20% | −$36 | −$40 |
| 30% | −$13 | −$17 |
| 40% | +$10 | +$6 |
| 50% | +$33 | +$29 |
| 60% | +$56 | +$52 |
The 9 / 8-or-lower split is kept at 5 : 2 in every row. Break-even is about 36% (version A) and 37% (version B), above the top of the 25 to 35% PSA 10 rate usually quoted for modern full-art cards. Only a copy you would bet is a 10 (sharp corners, clean back, centering you have measured) gets into positive territory.
Why a $239 card can fail the math
The fee is the same $59.99 on every card under $1,000, so what decides it is the gap between raw and the slab. Here a PSA 10 adds about $251 over raw, and a PSA 9 is worth about $13 less than raw, so seven times in ten (at 30% odds) you pay to turn a $239 card into a slab that sells for less. For grading to pay at 30% odds, a PSA 10 would need to sell for about $540 (version A).
If PSA's Value Bulk tier returns at its pre-pause $24.99, the same inputs give +$22 at 30% odds and a break-even of about 20%, so the paused cheap tier, not the card, is what is missing: at $24.99 a clean copy would be worth sending.
What about CGC or ACE?
CGC Economy is only $20. CGC 10s for this card sold for $212.50 to $349.00 since September (median about $305 across 21 sales since mid-August). A CGC 10 would net about $238.19 after fees and shipping, +$31 versus selling raw at the TCGplayer price, but only if it comes back a 10: CGC 9s usually sell below PSA 9s, which here are already under raw, so at the same 30% odds CGC does not change the answer. ACE 10s have sold for $337.47 to $473.17 since August, under the ~$490 a PSA 10 brings, and we have not modelled ACE's fees here; use the calculator below if you are weighing it.
Do this yourself in two minutes
Our Grading ROI Calculator takes the same inputs, including your own raw price, odds and fee, and puts PSA, CGC, TAG and Beckett side by side. For every card in the set, including the Galarian Gallery, see the Crown Zenith Set Value Sheet or the free Crown Zenith top 25 list. Cards where the math says no for the same reason: Giratina VSTAR GG69, the #1 card in the same set (added 23 October), Arceus VSTAR GG70, the #3 card (added 24 October), and Milotic ex (Surging Sparks). Other chase cards: Sylveon ex (Prismatic Evolutions), Latias ex (Surging Sparks), Pikachu ex (Surging Sparks), Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex (Destined Rivals), Charizard ex (Paldean Fates), Mew ex (Paldean Fates), Charizard ex (151), Umbreon ex (Prismatic Evolutions), Rayquaza VMAX (Evolving Skies) and Umbreon VMAX (Evolving Skies).
FAQ
How much is Mewtwo VSTAR GG44 from Crown Zenith worth raw?
About $239.25 near-mint on TCGplayer on 22 October 2026 ($237.18 on 13 October, $260.64 on 18 September); PriceCharting's ungraded sold average is $243.29.
How much is a PSA 10 Mewtwo VSTAR GG44?
About $490 on average (PriceCharting, 22 October 2026); 24 sales from 13 October to 22 October ran $405.00 to $550.00.
Is a PSA 9 Mewtwo VSTAR GG44 worth more than raw?
No. Recent PSA 9 sales have a median of about $226, under the raw price, so after fees a 9 nets about $81 less than selling raw today.
Which PSA tier should I use?
PSA Standard ($59.99). Raw, 9 and 10 prices are all under its $1,000 cap.
What chance of a PSA 10 do I need?
About 36% at the TCGplayer raw price, about 37% at PriceCharting's raw average.
GradeWorthy is not affiliated with The Pokémon Company, Nintendo, PSA, CGC, TAG, Beckett, ACE, eBay, PriceCharting or TCGplayer. Prices and fees change; verify before you submit.