Data as of 25 October 2026. Raw price: TCGplayer market price (near-mint) from our daily snapshot, plus PriceCharting's ungraded sold average for comparison. Graded prices: PriceCharting sold listings for this card, accessed 25 October 2026. Fees: PSA and CGC published fee schedules. This is a worked example of a method, not investment advice. Check today's sold prices before you decide.
The short answer
It depends on which raw price is real for your copy. Against TCGplayer's market price, no; against what raw copies actually sell for on eBay, yes for a clean copy. Raw Leafeon ex #144 is $308.56 on TCGplayer (25 October 2026), 8% below the $334.14 we recorded on 18 September. But 24 raw eBay sales from 5 October to 23 October had a median of $230.69 (PriceCharting average $261.14). A PSA 10 sells for about $662 and a PSA 9 for about $246. At PSA Standard ($59.99) and a 30% chance of a 10, grading averages about −$22 against a $309 raw sale and about +$20 against a $261 one. Break-even is about a 36% chance of a 10 at the TCGplayer price and 25% at the PriceCharting average.
Put another way: at 30% odds, grading pays only if you could not sell the card raw for more than about $284. If a buyer will pay you the TCGplayer price, take it; if your realistic raw sale is nearer the eBay median, the slab is the better bet. Leafeon is the #3 card in Prismatic Evolutions, after Umbreon ex and Sylveon ex.
Weekly price changes for 10 modern sets: Pokémon card price movers.
Which PSA tier applies
- PSA Standard ($59.99, cap $1,000). Raw ($308.56), a PSA 9 (~$246) and a PSA 10 (~$662) all sit under $1,000. 24 PSA 10 sales from 4 October to 23 October ran $551.00 to $749.99, so no upcharge applies.
- PSA's cheaper Value tiers have been paused since 2 June 2026. PSA ties their return to its backlog falling to about 5 million cards; it reported 8.2 million on 6 October. Standard takes about 90 to 100 business days, so we charge 135 calendar days of waiting.
The inputs
| Input | Value used | Where it comes from |
|---|---|---|
| Raw price, version A | $308.56 | TCGplayer market, 25 October 2026 (-7.7% vs $334.14 on 18 Sep; $331.93 on 1 Oct; $314.08 on 13 Oct) |
| Raw price, version B | $261.14 | PriceCharting ungraded sold average (24 raw sales 5 October to 23 October: $150.00 to $290.00, median $230.69; a two-card lot, a graded copy, a chipped copy and a Japanese card excluded) |
| Sold price if PSA 10 | $661.65 | PriceCharting PSA 10 average; 24 sales, median $690.50 (two Japanese-print sales excluded) |
| Sold price if PSA 9 | $246.50 | Median of 26 PriceCharting PSA 9 sales 27 September to 24 October: $201.50 to $360.00 |
| Sold price if 8 or lower | $215.50 | Blend of grade 8 (about $231) and grade 7 (about $185) |
| Chance of a 10 / 9 / 8 or lower | 30% / 50% / 20% | Assumption for a copy that looks clean under a loupe (same as our other card articles); other odds below |
| Selling platform | eBay, 13.25% + $0.40 | eBay trading-card fee schedule |
| Grading cost | $59.99 + $6 shipping | PSA Standard |
| Time value of money | 5% a year, 135 days | PSA Standard turnaround |
The math
- Net if it grades 10: 661.65 × 0.8675 − 0.40 − 59.99 − 6 = $507.59
- Net if it grades 9: 246.50 × 0.8675 − 0.40 − 59.99 − 6 = $147.45
- Net if 8 or lower: 215.50 × 0.8675 − 0.40 − 59.99 − 6 = $120.56
- Expected net if graded: 0.30 × 507.59 + 0.50 × 147.45 + 0.20 × 120.56 = $250.11
Version A, raw = $308.56: sell raw today 308.56 × 0.8675 − 0.40 = $267.28; cost of waiting $4.94; expected gain 250.11 − 267.28 − 4.94 = −$22.
Version B, raw = $261.14: sell raw today $226.14; cost of waiting $4.18; expected gain +$20. At the eBay median ($230.69) it is +$47.
How much depends on your odds of a 10
| Your chance of a PSA 10 | Raw = $308.56 | Raw = $261.14 |
|---|---|---|
| 10% | −$96 | −$54 |
| 20% | −$59 | −$17 |
| 30% | −$22 | +$20 |
| 40% | +$15 | +$57 |
| 50% | +$51 | +$93 |
| 60% | +$88 | +$130 |
The 9 / 8-or-lower split is kept at 5 : 2 in every row. Break-even is about 36% (version A) and 25% (version B). The 25 to 35% PSA 10 rate usually quoted for modern Special Illustration Rares sits between the two, which is why the raw price decides it.
Why the two raw prices are so far apart
TCGplayer's market price is built from TCGplayer's own recent sales and follows a falling market with a lag; eBay sold listings show where buyers are today. For this card the gap between the TCGplayer price and the median eBay sale is about $78, more than the PSA fee. Before you decide, look up sold listings for near-mint raw copies and use the price you would actually get.
The catch: a PSA 9 loses money
A PSA 9 sells for about $246 (median of recent sales), below the PriceCharting raw average, so after the fee, shipping and selling costs a 9 nets about $83 less than selling raw at $261. All of the expected gain comes from the 10. If your copy has off-centre borders, whitening or print lines, 30% is too high; at 10% odds the average is −$54 even at the lower raw price.
PSA 10s have been falling too: the median sale was $720.00 from 4 October to 9 October (9 sales) and $635.00 from 18 to 23 October (7 sales), -11.8%. A slab you send now comes back in about four months, at whatever the price is then.
If PSA's Value Bulk tier returns at its pre-pause $24.99, break-even at the TCGplayer price drops to about 26% (Value tiers have their own value caps, so check them first).
What about CGC or TAG?
CGC Economy is only $20, but CGC 10s for this card sold for a median of $329.99 since September (7 sales). A CGC 10 nets about $259.87, +$34 versus selling raw at $261, against about +$277 for a PSA 10, so for this card the PSA premium is worth the higher fee if you expect a 10. TAG 10s have sold for $660.00 to $1,000.00 since August (4 sales), around or above PSA 10s, but we have not modelled TAG's fees here; use the calculator below if you are weighing it.
Do this yourself in two minutes
Our Grading ROI Calculator takes the same inputs, including your own raw price, odds and fee, and puts PSA, CGC, TAG and Beckett side by side. For every card in the set, see the Prismatic Evolutions Set Value Sheet or the free Prismatic Evolutions top 25 list. The same math for the set's top two cards: Umbreon ex and Sylveon ex. Cards where the math says no at typical odds: Giratina VSTAR GG69, Mewtwo VSTAR GG44, Arceus VSTAR GG70 and Milotic ex. Other chase cards: Latias ex, Pikachu ex, Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex, Charizard ex (Paldean Fates), Mew ex, Charizard ex (151), Rayquaza VMAX and Umbreon VMAX.
FAQ
How much is Leafeon ex #144 from Prismatic Evolutions worth raw?
About $308.56 near-mint on TCGplayer on 25 October 2026 ($314.08 on 13 October, $334.14 on 18 September). Recent raw eBay sales are lower: median $230.69, PriceCharting average $261.14.
How much is a PSA 10 Leafeon ex #144?
About $662 on average (PriceCharting, 25 October 2026); 24 sales from 4 October to 23 October ran $551.00 to $749.99.
Is a PSA 9 Leafeon ex worth more than raw?
No. Recent PSA 9 sales have a median of about $246, under both the TCGplayer price and the PriceCharting raw average, so after fees a 9 loses money against selling raw.
Which PSA tier should I use?
PSA Standard ($59.99). Raw, 9 and 10 prices are all under its $1,000 cap.
What chance of a PSA 10 do I need?
About 36% at the TCGplayer raw price, about 25% at PriceCharting's raw average.
GradeWorthy is not affiliated with The Pokémon Company, Nintendo, PSA, CGC, TAG, Beckett, eBay, PriceCharting or TCGplayer. Prices and fees change; verify before you submit.