Card prices as of 12 October 2026. Sealed prices are StockX median sold prices, 4 July 2026 to 2 October 2026. Updated monthly.
The short answer
In all 6 sets where sealed product sells often enough on StockX to compare, the cards you can expect to pull are worth 16% to 44% of what the sealed product sells for. A Journey Together booster box comes closest ($108 of expected card value against a $243 median sale); a Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box is furthest ($64.51 against $395). At today's resale prices, opening sealed product means paying for the fun of the pull, not buying cards cheaply. The 'Expected card value' column below is the price under which that changes.
Both ends of that range rest on few sales. The most-traded products sit in between: Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box 33% (187 sales); Destined Rivals booster box 32% (38 sales); Scarlet & Violet 151 Elite Trainer Box 20% (30 sales).
Per pack, Scarlet & Violet 151 is the richest of the eight ($10.68 of expected card value per pack) and Journey Together the thinnest ($3.00).
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Expected card value vs sealed price, 8 sets
| Set | Sealed product | Card value per pack | Expected card value | Hits only | StockX median sale | Cards ÷ price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet 151 | Elite Trainer Box (9 packs) | $10.68 | $96.08 | $72.34 | $488 (30 sales) | 20% |
| Paldean Fates | Elite Trainer Box (9 packs) | $7.17 | $64.51 | $53.61 | $395 (8 sales, thin) | 16% |
| Prismatic Evolutions | Elite Trainer Box (9 packs) | $5.08 | $45.73 | $31.62 | $139 (187 sales) | 33% |
| Twilight Masquerade | Booster box (36 packs) | $4.07 | $147 | $92.12 | too few sales | – |
| Destined Rivals | Booster box (36 packs) | $3.97 | $143 | $80.61 | $448 (38 sales) | 32% |
| Obsidian Flames | Booster box (36 packs) | $3.97 | $143 | $83.04 | too few sales | – |
| Surging Sparks | Booster box (36 packs) | $3.16 | $114 | $71.26 | $280 (18 sales) | 41% |
| Journey Together | Booster box (36 packs) | $3.00 | $108 | $49.12 | $243 (6 sales, thin) | 44% |
Expected card value = the TCGplayer market price of every card you can pull, weighted by how often TCGplayer's published pull rates say it turns up, for the stated number of packs. 'Hits only' leaves out commons, uncommons and plain rares, which rarely sell for their listed price. Neither figure takes off selling fees or postage. 'Thin' = fewer than 10 sales in the 90 days; read those prices loosely.
Set by set
Scarlet & Violet 151: 9 packs carry about $96.08 of cards at market ($72.34 of it in hits, 75%). The Elite Trainer Box sold for a median $488 on StockX, so the expected cards cover 20% of the price. Top card: Charizard ex #199 at $321; the chance it is in your 9 packs is about 3.9%.
Paldean Fates: 9 packs carry about $64.51 of cards at market ($53.61 of it in hits, 83%). The Elite Trainer Box sold for a median $395 on StockX, so the expected cards cover 16% of the price. Top card: Mew ex #232 at $866; the chance it is in your 9 packs is about 1.9%. Special Illustration Rares average $170, but the middle one is $22.70: a few chase cards carry the set.
Prismatic Evolutions: 9 packs carry about $45.73 of cards at market ($31.62 of it in hits, 69%). The Elite Trainer Box sold for a median $139 on StockX, so the expected cards cover 33% of the price. Top card: Umbreon ex #161 at $1,285; the chance it is in your 9 packs is about 0.6%. Special Illustration Rares average $135, but the middle one is $41.75: a few chase cards carry the set.
Twilight Masquerade: 36 packs carry about $147 of cards at market ($92.12 of it in hits, 63%). Its booster box had too few StockX sales in our window to quote a price. Top card: Greninja ex #214 at $321; the chance it is in your 36 packs is about 3.8%.
Destined Rivals: 36 packs carry about $143 of cards at market ($80.61 of it in hits, 56%). The booster box sold for a median $448 on StockX, so the expected cards cover 32% of the price. An Elite Trainer Box (9 packs, about $35.72 of cards) sold for a median $114 (143 sales). Top card: Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex #231 at $378; the chance it is in your 36 packs is about 3.4%.
Obsidian Flames: 36 packs carry about $143 of cards at market ($83.04 of it in hits, 58%). Its booster box had too few StockX sales in our window to quote a price. An Elite Trainer Box (9 packs, about $35.70 of cards) sold for a median $245 (5 sales). Top card: Charizard ex #223 at $94.33; the chance it is in your 36 packs is about 17.2%. Special Illustration Rares average $20.86, but the middle one is $4.59: a few chase cards carry the set.
Surging Sparks: 36 packs carry about $114 of cards at market ($71.26 of it in hits, 63%). The booster box sold for a median $280 on StockX, so the expected cards cover 41% of the price. An Elite Trainer Box (9 packs, about $28.43 of cards) sold for a median $123 (35 sales). Top card: Pikachu ex #238 at $277; the chance it is in your 36 packs is about 3.7%. Special Illustration Rares average $67.11, but the middle one is $24.76: a few chase cards carry the set.
Journey Together: 36 packs carry about $108 of cards at market ($49.12 of it in hits, 45%). The booster box sold for a median $243 on StockX, so the expected cards cover 44% of the price. An Elite Trainer Box (9 packs, about $27.02 of cards) sold for a median $111 (26 sales). Top card: Lillie's Clefairy ex #184 at $89.83; the chance it is in your 36 packs is about 6.7%.
When does opening make sense?
Read 'Expected card value' as a break-even price. Buy the product for less than that and, on average, the cards inside are worth more than you paid, before fees. At the resale prices above no set gets there: the gap is the sealed premium, which is what people who keep boxes sealed are paying for. Two things the averages hide:
- Most boxes land below the average. The average includes the rare box with the top card in it, so the typical box is worth less than the expected value, sometimes much less.
- Selling costs money and time. Marketplace fees take a double-digit percentage plus postage, and bulk commons sell for a fraction of their listed price, which is why 'Hits only' is the more realistic column.
Already opening or holding sealed? The Collection & Flip Tracker ($24) logs what you paid per box and per pull and shows your real profit after eBay, TCGplayer, Whatnot and Mercari fees.
Method
Card prices are TCGplayer market prices (near-mint) captured by our daily pipeline on 12 October 2026, the same rows that feed our Pack & Box EV workbook, whose formulas were checked cell by cell. Pull rates are TCGplayer's published per-set estimates from opened product; they are sample estimates and real boxes vary. Each slot is valued at the average price of the cards in its rarity, so a slot that can hold the top card or a $5 card is counted at its probability-weighted average. Sealed prices are StockX median sold prices, 4 July 2026 to 2 October 2026; products with fewer than 5 sales are not shown (Twilight Masquerade, Obsidian Flames had too few). Boxes and Elite Trainer Boxes also hold things that are not cards (sleeves, dice, a promo in some ETBs), which this comparison ignores. Every card in each set, priced, is in the Set Value Sheets.
FAQ
Is it worth opening a Pokémon booster box?
Not to make money at October 2026 resale prices. In the 6 sets we could compare, the cards you can expect to pull are worth 16% to 44% of the sealed product's StockX median sale. Open it because you enjoy it.
Which Pokémon set has the best pack value right now?
Of these eight, Scarlet & Violet 151 at about $10.68 of expected card value per pack, then Paldean Fates ($7.17). Journey Together is lowest at $3.00.
What are the odds of pulling the top card from an Elite Trainer Box?
Low. Mew ex #232 from Paldean Fates is in about 1.9% of 9-pack ETBs, roughly 1 in 52.
More on sealed products
- Pokémon ETB prices: what 16 Elite Trainer Boxes sold for on StockX
- Pokémon Center ETB vs regular ETB: the resale premium
- When do Pokémon ETBs go up in value? Two years of StockX prices
- 30th Celebration ETB price after launch
- Graded vs raw Pokémon card prices on StockX
GradeWorthy is not affiliated with The Pokémon Company, Nintendo, PSA, CGC, TAG, Beckett, eBay, TCGplayer or StockX. Prices change daily and pull rates are estimates; this is information, not financial advice, and opening sealed product is not an investment.